📈 XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe (D1)
Date: July 2, 2025
🟢 1. Bullish Flag Breakout on the Daily Chart
A bullish flag pattern has successfully formed and broken on the XAUUSD Daily chart. This classic continuation setup signals strong upside momentum. The breakout was confirmed by a bullish candle on July 1st, which closed firmly above the flag’s upper boundary — suggesting the possibility of further upward movement in the coming sessions.
📌 Key Observation: The breakout candle is strong, resembling the size and structure of the prior bullish leg — supporting a continuation bias.
🟡 2. Price Action & Volume
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The July 1st daily candle closed bullishly, reinforcing the flag breakout.
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Volume remains stable, neither overly extended nor declining, which implies a healthy price move with room for expansion.
✅ Analysis A – Bullish Continuation (High Probability)
Given the breakout, the next logical move is a continuation toward resistance in the 3420–3435 zone.
A breakout above this level could signal fresh highs, especially if volume picks up and the next daily candle closes strong.
Potential Setup:
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Buy Entry: 3325
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Stop Loss: 3315
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Target: 3420
If volume increases on July 2nd or 3rd, a break above the trend line resistance around 3435 could mark the beginning of a new bullish leg.
❌ Bearish Case – Low Probability
While current conditions favor bulls, the bearish scenario remains unlikely unless price drops back below the flag’s broken resistance. Only a sustained move under 3315 with strong selling volume would shift bias to bearish.
🔍 4-Hour Chart (H4) Analysis
Short-term patterns suggest a potential double bottom formation around recent lows, followed by a bullish reversal.
📌 If H1 or H4 closes above 3358 with a strong-bodied candle and supportive volume, this will act as an early confirmation of upward continuation.
Intraday Setup:
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Buy Entry: 3325
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Stop Loss: 3315
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Target: 3420
⏱ 30-Minute Chart (M30) Analysis
On the 30-minute chart, gold has rebounded strongly from the lower channel, indicating buyers are defending that zone.
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A break and hold above 3360 will signal a short-term bullish continuation.
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After a brief retest, further upside could follow, despite mild short-term selling pressure seen forming.
📌 Summary
Timeframe | Signal | Key Level(s) | Outlook |
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D1 | Bullish flag breakout | Resistance: 3420–3435 | ✅ Bullish |
H4/H1 | Double bottom reversal | Above 3358 confirmations | ✅ Bullish |
M30 | Rebound from lower channel | Break above 3360 | ⚠️ Short-term bullish, monitor for retest |
📊 Conclusion:
Gold (XAUUSD) is showing strong bullish structure across multiple timeframes, with a confirmed breakout on the daily chart and supporting signals on H4 and M30. A close above 3360–3365 in the intraday sessions could open the door toward 3420–3435, provided volume confirms the move.